May 2, 2009
Go, Look: Willard Mullin at KY Derby
I haven't been paying attention to the horses this year, but the Kentucky Derby is more social event than betting occasion, anyway. That's the great thing about horse racing -- there's like two minutes of racing and then 50 minutes of sitting around in the nice weather, chatting with your friends or enjoying your solitude, perhaps having a cocktail. It's like a less insistent baseball or NBA basketball with everything but the last half of the fourth quarter jettisoned, and what's left chopped up and played out over eight and a half hours.
The most popular bet going into the weekend was almost certainly Rachel Alexandra winning the Oaks paired with a few of your favorite Derby favorites, which makes any advice here outright outdated. When I used to go to the Derby I was lucky treating it as a race for value, figuring that someone in the 15-1 to 40-1 range was likely to sneak into the top three with the field being so crowded. Taking a quick peek at the horses, I'd probably end up doing something with Papa Clem or Musket Man. If I sent my Mom and her $2 to the window to bet, I'd suggest Dunkirk. Luckily, I'm far away from a proper betting window and won't be losing any money today.
posted 4:00 am PST |
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